Friday’s contest between the New York Mets (76-64) and Cincinnati Reds (68-73) matching up at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET on Sept. 6.

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Mets vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Reds Betting Lines

Mets vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -185 +154 7.5 -115 -105

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 49, or 59%, of the 83 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 10-4 when favored by -185 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 70 of 140 chances this season.
  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has gone 34-39 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.6% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer, the Reds have gone 4-1 (80%).
  • In the 140 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-66-8).
  • In eight games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Reds had a record of 4-4.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Cincinnati and its opponents are 8-5-2 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.35 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 27 games.
  • Sean Manaea’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-6.
  • In games Manaea has started, his team is 19-8.
  • Out of Manaea’s 27 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Fernando Cruz

  • Over his 63 games this season, opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of just .221 against him. He has a 4.99 ERA and averages 14 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Reds were the moneyline underdog for one Fernando Cruz start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Cruz’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 76-64
Home 38-33
Road 38-31
One-Run Games 24-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 52-18

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 68-73
Home 36-39
Road 32-34
One-Run Games 13-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 49-10

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