Thursday’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-74) and the Washington Nationals (62-77) at PNC Park should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Pirates securing the victory. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 5.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Pirates vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -122 +102 8.5 -105 -115

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 30, or 55.6%, of the 54 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Pirates have been victorious 19 times in 37 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of 139 opportunities.
  • The Pirates had a 3-2 record in the five games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has a 50-66 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.1% of those games).
  • The Nationals are 41-58 (winning 41.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
  • In the 139 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-66-7).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and went 5-6 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have failed to hit the over 11 times.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.41 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .265 in 23 games this season.
  • Bailey Falter’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Falter has started, his team is 10-13.
  • Games Falter has started this season hit the over 11 times in 23 chances.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin

  • In 28 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .247 against him.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 25 of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 10-15 in those matchups.
  • Irvin’s team has a 12-16 record in his starts this season.
  • Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 15 of 28 games.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 65-74
Home 32-36
Road 33-38
One-Run Games 21-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-17

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-77
Home 32-37
Road 30-40
One-Run Games 13-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-16

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