Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 5
Thursday’s contest features the Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) and the Miami Marlins (52-87) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 5.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -238 | +195 | 8 | -110 | -110 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has come away with 68 wins in the 108 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Phillies have a mark of 13-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -238 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 64 of 139 opportunities.
- The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for eight of their past 15 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 15 games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has a 48-73 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.7% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +195 or longer, the Marlins have a 7-10 record (winning 41.2% of their games).
- In the 139 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-59-6).
- In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 6-8.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.02 and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .227 in 22 games this season.
- Ranger Suarez’s team has been victorious in 64.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-6.
- Suarez’s team has won 15 of his 22 starts.
- Out of Suarez’s 22 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Oller
- The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.31, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .158 batting average against him.
- The Marlins are 1-2 in Oller’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Oller’s team has put together a 1-2 record in his three starts.
- Oller’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 83-56 |
| Home | 47-25 |
| Road | 36-31 |
| One-Run Games | 20-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-10 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 52-87 |
| Home | 26-45 |
| Road | 26-42 |
| One-Run Games | 22-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-17 |
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