Thursday’s contest features the Philadelphia Phillies (83-56) and the Miami Marlins (52-87) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 5.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -238 +195 8 -110 -110

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has come away with 68 wins in the 108 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Phillies have a mark of 13-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -238 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 64 of 139 opportunities.
  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for eight of their past 15 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has a 48-73 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 39.7% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +195 or longer, the Marlins have a 7-10 record (winning 41.2% of their games).
  • In the 139 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-59-6).
  • In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 6-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.02 and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .227 in 22 games this season.
  • Ranger Suarez’s team has been victorious in 64.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-6.
  • Suarez’s team has won 15 of his 22 starts.
  • Out of Suarez’s 22 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Oller

  • The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.31, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .158 batting average against him.
  • The Marlins are 1-2 in Oller’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Oller’s team has put together a 1-2 record in his three starts.
  • Oller’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 83-56
Home 47-25
Road 36-31
One-Run Games 20-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 58-10

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 52-87
Home 26-45
Road 26-42
One-Run Games 22-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-17

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