Predictions for Padres vs. Tigers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 5
Thursday’s game between the San Diego Padres (80-61) and Detroit Tigers (70-70) matching up at PETCO Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Padres, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 8:40 p.m. ET on Sept. 5.
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Padres vs. Tigers Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 8:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: BSDET
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Tigers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Padres vs. Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -162 | +136 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has been victorious in 49, or 57.6%, of the 85 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Padres have won 19 of 30 games when listed as at least -162 or better on the moneyline.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 76 of 141 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres were the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), San Diego and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.
Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has been the underdog on the moneyline 84 total times this season. It has gone 38-46 in those games.
- The Tigers have a 5-19 record (winning just 20.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
- Detroit has played in 138 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-62-5).
- In six games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 1-5.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Detroit and its opponents are 6-8-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Padres vs. Tigers Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Martín Pérez
- The 33-year-old has pitched to a 4.71 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 22 games.
- When Martin Perez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-4.
- In games Perez has started, his team is 12-10.
- Games started by Perez have an 11-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize
- During 17 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 4.25 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .286 to opposing hitters.
- The Tigers have a 7-6 record in Mize’s 13 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Mize’s team is 9-8 over his 17 starts.
- Casey Mize has had 17 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 10 of those outings finished over the total.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-61 |
| Home | 39-32 |
| Road | 41-29 |
| One-Run Games | 20-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 59-7 |
Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 70-70 |
| Home | 35-34 |
| Road | 35-36 |
| One-Run Games | 25-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 47-8 |
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