Predictions for Braves vs. Rockies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 5
Thursday’s contest at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (76-63) going head-to-head against the Colorado Rockies (51-89) at 7:20 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Braves, who are a small favorite based on our model.
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Braves vs. Rockies Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 7:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSO
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Rockies Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 4, Rockies 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Braves vs. Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -285 | +230 | 8.5 | -104 | -125 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has come away with 64 wins in the 111 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Braves have a win-loss record of 4-2 when favored by -285 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 49 of 139 opportunities.
- The Braves went 7-1 over the eight games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over four times.
Rockies Betting Insights
- Colorado has won 48 of the 135 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (35.6%).
- The Rockies have a record of 3-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +230 or longer (37.5%).
- In the 140 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Colorado, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-68-3).
- The Rockies have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- Colorado and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Braves vs. Rockies Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo López
- The 30-year-old has pitched to a 2.00 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.1 walks per nine across 22 games.
- Reynaldo Lopez’s team has won 58.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-7).
- López’s team has won 14 of his 22 starts.
- Games started by Lopez have a 4-15-3 record at hitting the over this season.
Rockies’ Starting Pitcher: Austin Gomber
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.69, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season. Opponents are hitting .267 against him.
- The Rockies are 10-16 in Gomber’s 26 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gomber’s team has won 10 of his 26 starts.
- Gomber’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 26 contests.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-63 |
| Home | 38-28 |
| Road | 38-35 |
| One-Run Games | 15-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-13 |
Rockies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 51-89 |
| Home | 32-37 |
| Road | 19-52 |
| One-Run Games | 23-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-20 |
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