The Washington Mystics (10-23) will visit the Phoenix Mercury (17-17) after winning three road games in a row.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Thursday’s game.

Mercury vs. Mystics Predictions

Spread: Mystics (+5.5) to Cover

• The BetMGM line for this matchup is within 0.0 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
• The Mystics are 22-11-0 ATS this season.
• Washington has a 14-7 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.
• So far this season, the Mercury have compiled a 19-15-0 record against the spread.
• Phoenix is 5-2 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 165.5

• BetMGM and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.9 points of each other.
• Mercury games have finished over 165.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 16 times (out of 34) this season.
• This year, 15 of Washington’s 33 games have had a combined total of more than 165.5 points scored.
• The Mercury have hit the over in 16 of their 33 games with a set total (48.5%).
• In the Mystics’ 33 games with a set total, 17 have hit the over (51.5%).

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-210)

• Prediction: Mercury 85, Mystics 80
• Washington has won seven, or 23.3%, of the 30 games it has played as the underdog this season.

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Where to Watch Mercury vs. Mystics: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV Channel: AZFamily, Mercury Live, MNMT, and Amazon Prime Video
• Livestream: Watch this game on Prime Video (Regional restrictions may apply)

Mercury Leaders

• The Mercury scoring leader is Kahleah Copper, who averages 22.2 per contest to go with 4.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
• Monique Billings is Phoenix’s leading rebounder, grabbing 6.1 per game, while Diana Taurasi is its best passer, averaging 3.3 assists in each contest.
• The Mercury get the most three-point shooting production out of Taurasi, who knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
• The Phoenix steals leader is Sophie Cunningham, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Natasha Mack, who compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Mystics Leaders

• Ariel Atkins scores 15.3 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mystics.
• Aaliyah Edwards puts up a stat line of 5.6 rebounds, 7.8 points and 1.4 assists per game for Washington to take the top rebound spot on the team. Julie Vanloo holds the top spot for assists with 4.7 per game, adding 7.6 points and 1.7 rebounds per outing.
• Stefanie Dolson is dependable from three-point range and leads the Mystics with 2.1 made threes per game.
• Washington’s leader in steals is Atkins (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Edwards (0.8 per game).

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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