Predictions for Royals vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 4
Wednesday’s game at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (75-65) squaring off against the Cleveland Guardians (80-59) at 7:40 p.m. ET (on September 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Royals, so expect a tight matchup.
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Royals vs. Guardians Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
- How to Watch on TV: BSKC
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Royals vs. Guardians Predictions
- Score Prediction: Royals 5, Guardians 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Royals vs. Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | -142 | +120 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Royals Betting Insights
- Kansas City has been victorious in 42, or 62.7%, of the 67 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Royals have a mark of 24-9 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of 140 opportunities.
- The Royals went 3-4 over the seven games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Kansas City and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland is 24-28 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
- The Guardians have gone 10-9 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (52.6%).
- In the 139 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-64-9).
- In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Royals vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers
Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo
- The 34-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with a 3.12 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .232.
- When Seth Lugo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-7.
- In games Lugo has started, his team is 15-13.
- In games Lugo has started this season, the teams are 10-17-1 at hitting the over.
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively
- The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.92, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .240 batting average against him.
- The Guardians have a 3-5 record in Lively’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Lively’s team has won 15 of his 24 starts.
- Lively’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 24 games with a set total this season.
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Royals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-65 |
| Home | 41-30 |
| Road | 34-35 |
| One-Run Games | 16-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-19 |
Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 80-59 |
| Home | 43-25 |
| Road | 37-34 |
| One-Run Games | 23-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-8 |
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