Wednesday’s game at Kauffman Stadium has the Kansas City Royals (75-65) squaring off against the Cleveland Guardians (80-59) at 7:40 p.m. ET (on September 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Royals, so expect a tight matchup.

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Royals vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Royals vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Royals vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Royals vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Royals -142 +120 8.5 -110 -110

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Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been victorious in 42, or 62.7%, of the 67 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Royals have a mark of 24-9 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of 140 opportunities.
  • The Royals went 3-4 over the seven games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Kansas City and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland is 24-28 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
  • The Guardians have gone 10-9 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (52.6%).
  • In the 139 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-64-9).
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Royals vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with a 3.12 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .232.
  • When Seth Lugo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-7.
  • In games Lugo has started, his team is 15-13.
  • In games Lugo has started this season, the teams are 10-17-1 at hitting the over.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

  • The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.92, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .240 batting average against him.
  • The Guardians have a 3-5 record in Lively’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Lively’s team has won 15 of his 24 starts.
  • Lively’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 24 games with a set total this season.

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Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 75-65
Home 41-30
Road 34-35
One-Run Games 16-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-19

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 80-59
Home 43-25
Road 37-34
One-Run Games 23-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 58-8

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