Wednesday’s game between the New York Mets (75-64) and the Boston Red Sox (70-69) at Citi Field is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets securing the victory. Game time is at 7:10 p.m. ET on September 4.

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Red Sox vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -112 -108 8 -112 -108

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 70 games this year, and has walked away with the win 38 times (54.3%) in those games.
  • The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 38-32 when favored by -112 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over in 72 of 137 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox went 3-5 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 27 of the 56 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.2%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Mets have gone 25-26 (49%).
  • New York has played in 139 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-66-4).
  • In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mets had a record of 4-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.12, a 3.11 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.166 in 27 games this season.
  • Tanner Houck’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-8).
  • In games Houck has started, his team is 14-13.
  • Games Houck has started this season hit the over 15 times in 27 chances.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill

  • Over 11 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 4.82 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .245 to his opponents.
  • The Mets are 2-2 in Megill’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Megill’s team is 3-7 in his 10 starts.
  • Tylor Megill has started 10 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 70-69
Home 31-38
Road 39-31
One-Run Games 16-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-12

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 75-64
Home 37-33
Road 38-31
One-Run Games 24-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 51-18

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