Wednesday’s game features the Miami Marlins (51-87) and the Washington Nationals (62-76) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Marlins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on September 4.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Nationals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -142 +120 8.5 -102 -118

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the favorite in 21 games this season, and has come away with the win 12 times (57.1%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Nationals have been victorious three times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over in 66 of 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals had a 2-1 record in the three games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Washington combined with its opponents to go over the total four times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline 120 total times this season. It has gone 47-73 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Marlins have a 30-51 record (winning only 37% of their games).
  • In the 138 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-58-6).
  • In 14 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 6-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 4.45, a 2.65 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.547.
  • MacKenzie Gore’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gore’s team has won 12 of his 27 starts this season.
  • In Gore’s 27 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

  • In eight games this season, the 24-year-old has a 4.32 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .253 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins are 4-4 in Bellozo’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bellozo’s team has compiled a 4-4 record over his eight starts.
  • Valente Bellozo has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings hit the over.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-76
Home 32-37
Road 30-39
One-Run Games 13-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-16

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 51-87
Home 25-45
Road 26-42
One-Run Games 21-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-17

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