Predictions for Nationals vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 4
Wednesday’s game features the Miami Marlins (51-87) and the Washington Nationals (62-76) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Marlins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on September 4.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Nationals 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | -142 | +120 | 8.5 | -102 | -118 |
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Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has been the favorite in 21 games this season, and has come away with the win 12 times (57.1%) in those contests.
- This season, the Nationals have been victorious three times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 66 of 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals had a 2-1 record in the three games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Washington combined with its opponents to go over the total four times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline 120 total times this season. It has gone 47-73 in those games.
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Marlins have a 30-51 record (winning only 37% of their games).
- In the 138 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-58-6).
- In 14 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 6-8.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- The 25-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 4.45, a 2.65 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.547.
- MacKenzie Gore’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gore’s team has won 12 of his 27 starts this season.
- In Gore’s 27 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo
- In eight games this season, the 24-year-old has a 4.32 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .253 to his opponents.
- The Marlins are 4-4 in Bellozo’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bellozo’s team has compiled a 4-4 record over his eight starts.
- Valente Bellozo has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings hit the over.
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Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-76 |
| Home | 32-37 |
| Road | 30-39 |
| One-Run Games | 13-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-16 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 51-87 |
| Home | 25-45 |
| Road | 26-42 |
| One-Run Games | 21-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-17 |
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