Predictions for Astros vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 4
Wednesday’s contest at Great American Ball Park has the Cincinnati Reds (66-73) taking on the Houston Astros (75-63) at 6:40 p.m. ET (on September 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 victory for the Reds, so it should be a competitive matchup.
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Astros vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSOH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Astros vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 6, Astros 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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Astros vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -142 | +120 | 9 | -108 | -112 |
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Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has been victorious in 56, or 57.1%, of the 98 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Astros have a mark of 39-22 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of 138 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over six times.
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has been the underdog on the moneyline 71 total times this season. It has finished 32-39 in those games.
- The Reds are 13-13 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- Cincinnati has had an over/under set by bookmakers 138 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 65 of those games (65-65-8).
- In eight games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 3-5.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Astros vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.63 and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .241 in 24 games this season.
- Spencer Arrighetti’s team is 7-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Arrighetti has started, his team is 10-14.
- In games Arrighetti has started this season, the teams are 9-13-2 at hitting the over.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick MartÃnez
- Over 37 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed a 3.78 ERA and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .258 to opposing batters.
- The Reds were named the moneyline underdog for five Nick Martinez starts this season — they lost each time.
- MartÃnez’s team has a 4-7 record in his starts this season.
- Martinez has had 11 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in six of those games.
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Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-63 |
| Home | 39-29 |
| Road | 36-34 |
| One-Run Games | 15-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-7 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 66-73 |
| Home | 34-39 |
| Road | 32-34 |
| One-Run Games | 12-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-10 |
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