Monday’s game features the New York Mets (73-64) and the Boston Red Sox (70-67) clashing at Citi Field in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Mets according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on September 2.

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Mets vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Mets vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Mets vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -125 +105 8 -105 -115

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 80 games this year, and has walked away with the win 46 times (57.5%) in those games.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 34-24 when favored by -125 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of 137 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 6-2 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times.

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 31 of the 64 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.4%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, the Red Sox have a record of 17-21 (44.7%).
  • Boston has played in 135 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 71 times (71-57-7).
  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Boston and its opponents are 7-8-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with a 3.96 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
  • Luis Severino’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-6).
  • Severino’s team has won 13 of his 26 starts this season.
  • Games Severino has started this season hit the over 15 times in 26 chances.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello

  • Over 25 games this season, the 25-year-old has a 4.66 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .258 to opposing hitters.
  • The Red Sox have an 8-4 record in Bello’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Bello’s 25 starts, his team is 17-8.
  • Brayan Bello has had 24 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 15 of those matchups hit the over.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 73-64
Home 35-33
Road 38-31
One-Run Games 24-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 50-18

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 70-67
Home 31-38
Road 39-29
One-Run Games 16-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-12

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