Monday’s game that pits the Cincinnati Reds (65-73) versus the Houston Astros (75-62) at Great American Ball Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET on September 2.

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Astros vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Astros vs. Reds Betting Lines

Astros vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -166 +140 9.5 -112 -108

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 97 games this year, and has walked away with the win 56 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • The Astros have a win-loss record of 24-9 when favored by -166 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros had a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to go over the run total six times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 44.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (31-39).
  • The Reds have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer.
  • Cincinnati has played in 137 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-64-8).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Astros vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander

  • The 41-year-old has pitched to a 4.16 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • Justin Verlander’s team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Verlander’s team is 4-8 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Verlander have a 5-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Julian Aguiar

  • In three games this season, the 23-year-old has an ERA of 6.43, with 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .293 against him.
  • The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for one Julian Aguiar start this season — they won.
  • All three of Aguiar’s starts this season have been win for his team.
  • Aguiar’s team has hit the over in each of his three starts with a total this season.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 75-62
Home 39-29
Road 36-33
One-Run Games 15-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-7

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 65-73
Home 33-39
Road 32-34
One-Run Games 12-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 47-10

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