Predictions for Astros vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 2
Monday’s game that pits the Cincinnati Reds (65-73) versus the Houston Astros (75-62) at Great American Ball Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET on September 2.
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Astros vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Monday, September 2, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SCHN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Astros vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
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Astros vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -166 | +140 | 9.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 97 games this year, and has walked away with the win 56 times (57.7%) in those games.
- The Astros have a win-loss record of 24-9 when favored by -166 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Astros had a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to go over the run total six times.
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has won 44.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (31-39).
- The Reds have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer.
- Cincinnati has played in 137 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-64-8).
- The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Astros vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander
- The 41-year-old has pitched to a 4.16 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 12 games.
- Justin Verlander’s team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Verlander’s team is 4-8 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Verlander have a 5-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Julian Aguiar
- In three games this season, the 23-year-old has an ERA of 6.43, with 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .293 against him.
- The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for one Julian Aguiar start this season — they won.
- All three of Aguiar’s starts this season have been win for his team.
- Aguiar’s team has hit the over in each of his three starts with a total this season.
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Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-62 |
| Home | 39-29 |
| Road | 36-33 |
| One-Run Games | 15-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-7 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 65-73 |
| Home | 33-39 |
| Road | 32-34 |
| One-Run Games | 12-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 47-10 |
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