Sunday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (80-56) and the Atlanta Braves (74-62) clashing at Citizens Bank Park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on September 1.

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Phillies vs. Braves Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Braves Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Braves Betting Lines

Phillies vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -142 +120 8 -108 -112

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has won 66, or 62.3%, of the 106 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Phillies have a mark of 51-27 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of 136 opportunities.
  • The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has compiled a 12-14 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
  • The Braves are 1-3 (winning just 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • Atlanta has had an over/under set by bookmakers 136 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-80-7).
  • The Braves have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents are 5-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Phillies vs. Braves Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 3.30, a 3.64 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.160.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has a record of 16-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Nola’s team has won 18 of his 27 starts this season.
  • Out of Nola’s 27 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.72, with 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .227 batting average against him.
  • The Braves have been the moneyline underdog in four of Schwellenbach’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • Schwellenbach’s team has compiled a 7-8 record over his 15 starts.
  • Schwellenbach’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of 15 contests.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 80-56
Home 46-25
Road 34-31
One-Run Games 18-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 57-10

Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-62
Home 36-28
Road 38-34
One-Run Games 15-20
Scoring 5+ Runs 47-13

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