Sunday’s game at Tropicana Field has the San Diego Padres (77-61) going head to head against the Tampa Bay Rays (67-68) at 1:40 p.m. ET (on September 1). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Padres, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Padres vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs

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Padres vs. Rays Betting Lines

Padres vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -142 +120 7 -120 +100

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has come away with 46 wins in the 82 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Padres have a win-loss record of 30-22 when favored by -142 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 75 of 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has a 31-38 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.9% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Rays have an 8-14 record (winning just 36.4% of their games).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times this season for a 61-70-4 record against the over/under.
  • In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Rays had a record of 5-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Padres vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.57 and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .205 in 28 games this season.
  • Dylan Cease’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-10).
  • Cease’s team has won 17 of his 28 starts this season.
  • In Cease’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 15 times.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot

  • In 20 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 3.61 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .204 to his opponents.
  • The Rays are 3-4 in Pepiot’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pepiot’s team has put together an 11-9 record over his 20 starts.
  • Pepiot’s starts went over the run total eight times in 20 games with a set total this season.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 77-61
Home 37-32
Road 40-29
One-Run Games 18-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 58-7

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 67-68
Home 35-35
Road 32-33
One-Run Games 25-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 40-8

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