Predictions for Padres vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Sept. 1
Sunday’s game at Tropicana Field has the San Diego Padres (77-61) going head to head against the Tampa Bay Rays (67-68) at 1:40 p.m. ET (on September 1). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Padres, so it should be a tight matchup.
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Padres vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 1:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Padres vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -142 | +120 | 7 | -120 | +100 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has come away with 46 wins in the 82 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Padres have a win-loss record of 30-22 when favored by -142 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 75 of 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres were the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has a 31-38 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 44.9% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Rays have an 8-14 record (winning just 36.4% of their games).
- Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times this season for a 61-70-4 record against the over/under.
- In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Rays had a record of 5-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Padres vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.57 and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .205 in 28 games this season.
- Dylan Cease’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-10).
- Cease’s team has won 17 of his 28 starts this season.
- In Cease’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 15 times.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- In 20 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 3.61 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .204 to his opponents.
- The Rays are 3-4 in Pepiot’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Pepiot’s team has put together an 11-9 record over his 20 starts.
- Pepiot’s starts went over the run total eight times in 20 games with a set total this season.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 77-61 |
| Home | 37-32 |
| Road | 40-29 |
| One-Run Games | 18-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-7 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 67-68 |
| Home | 35-35 |
| Road | 32-33 |
| One-Run Games | 25-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 40-8 |
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