Sunday’s game between the Cleveland Guardians (77-59) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (63-72) at Progressive Field is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Guardians taking home the win. Game time is at 1:40 p.m. ET on September 1.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Guardians vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -148 +124 8 -112 -108

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been victorious in 54, or 63.5%, of the 85 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Guardians have come away with a win 18 times in 31 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of 136 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh is 33-47 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.2% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Pirates have gone 13-25 (34.2%).
  • Pittsburgh has played in 135 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-65-5).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Alex Cobb

  • He has pitched to a 4.35 ERA this season with 3.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across two games.
  • Alex Cobb’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Cobb’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Cobb this season, the teams hit the over once.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.84, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season. Opponents have a .250 batting average against him.
  • The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 10-3 in those matchups.
  • Keller’s team has a 17-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Keller’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 14 of 26 contests.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 77-59
Home 42-25
Road 35-34
One-Run Games 23-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-8

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 63-72
Home 32-36
Road 31-36
One-Run Games 21-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-17

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