Predictions for Rays vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 31
Saturday’s contest that pits the San Diego Padres (77-60) against the Tampa Bay Rays (66-68) at Tropicana Field should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET on August 31.
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Rays vs. Padres Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Rays vs. Padres Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Rays vs. Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -122 | +102 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has been victorious in 34, or 54.8%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Rays have been victorious 26 times in 47 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 60 of 134 chances this season.
- The Rays went 2-3 across the five games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has won 30 of the 54 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (55.6%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Padres have a 16-16 record (winning 50% of their games).
- San Diego has played in 137 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-62-1).
- The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 3-1 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 9-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Rays vs. Padres Probable Pitchers
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.48, a 2.12 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.318 in eight games this season.
- Shane Baz’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- In games Baz has started, his team is 4-4.
- In games Baz has started this season, the teams are 3-5-0 at hitting the over.
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez
- Over 18 games this season, the 25-year-old has a 4.52 ERA and 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .307 to his opponents.
- The Padres are 6-6 in Vasquez’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Vasquez’s team is 8-10 over his 18 starts.
- Vasquez’s starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 18 games with a set total this season.
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Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 66-68 |
| Home | 34-35 |
| Road | 32-33 |
| One-Run Games | 25-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-8 |
Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 77-60 |
| Home | 37-32 |
| Road | 40-28 |
| One-Run Games | 18-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-7 |
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