Saturday’s contest that pits the San Diego Padres (77-60) against the Tampa Bay Rays (66-68) at Tropicana Field should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET on August 31.

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Rays vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Rays vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Rays vs. Padres Betting Lines

Rays vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Rays -122 +102 8 -105 -115

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Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been victorious in 34, or 54.8%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Rays have been victorious 26 times in 47 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 60 of 134 chances this season.
  • The Rays went 2-3 across the five games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 30 of the 54 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (55.6%).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Padres have a 16-16 record (winning 50% of their games).
  • San Diego has played in 137 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-62-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 3-1 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 9-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Rays vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.48, a 2.12 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.318 in eight games this season.
  • Shane Baz’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • In games Baz has started, his team is 4-4.
  • In games Baz has started this season, the teams are 3-5-0 at hitting the over.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez

  • Over 18 games this season, the 25-year-old has a 4.52 ERA and 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .307 to his opponents.
  • The Padres are 6-6 in Vasquez’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Vasquez’s team is 8-10 over his 18 starts.
  • Vasquez’s starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 18 games with a set total this season.

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Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 66-68
Home 34-35
Road 32-33
One-Run Games 25-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-8

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 77-60
Home 37-32
Road 40-28
One-Run Games 18-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 58-7

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