Saturday’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies (79-56) and the Atlanta Braves (74-61) at Citizens Bank Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Phillies securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET on August 31.

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Phillies vs. Braves Matchup Info

• When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: FOX
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Phillies vs. Braves Predictions

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Braves Betting Lines

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Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 105 games this year, and has walked away with the win 65 times (61.9%) in those games.
• This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 49 times in 71 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of 135 opportunities.
• The Phillies went 6-3 over the nine games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.

Braves Betting Insights

• Atlanta has been the underdog on the moneyline 25 total times this season. It has finished 12-13 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Braves have a record of 1-2 (33.3%).
• Atlanta has played in 135 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 49 times (49-79-7).
• The Braves have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
• Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Braves Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

• The 34-year-old has pitched to a 2.74 ERA this season with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 26 games.
• When Zack Wheeler starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 15-9.
• Wheeler’s team has a 15-11 record in his starts this season.
• Games started by Wheeler have an 11-15-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried

• In 23 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.50, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .231 against him.
• The Braves have a 2-1 record in Fried’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Fried’s team has won 14 of his 23 starts.
• Fried’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 23 games.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Braves’ 2024 Performance

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