Saturday’s game between the Cleveland Guardians (77-58) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (62-72) at Progressive Field has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Guardians coming out on top. Game time is at 6:10 p.m. ET on August 31.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Guardians vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -166 +140 8.5 -105 -115

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been the favorite in 84 games this season, and has come away with the win 54 times (64.3%) in those contests.
  • The Guardians have a win-loss record of 11-7 when favored by -166 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of 135 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Guardians had a 5-4 record in the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has compiled a 32-47 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40.5% of those games).
  • The Pirates have a 7-14 record (winning just 33.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +140 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 65 times this season for a 65-64-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 10-4-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd

  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.70 and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .169 in three games this season.
  • Matthew Boyd’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Boyd’s team is undefeated in the three games he’s started this season.
  • In Boyd’s three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz

  • In 32 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed a 3.36 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .222 to his opponents.
  • The Pirates are 3-6 in Ortiz’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Ortiz’s team has compiled a 4-6 record in his 10 starts.
  • Luis Ortiz has had 10 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those matchups hit the over.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 77-58
Home 42-24
Road 35-34
One-Run Games 23-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-8

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-72
Home 32-36
Road 30-36
One-Run Games 21-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-17

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