Predictions for Phillies vs. Braves: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 29
Thursday’s contest features the Philadelphia Phillies (78-55) and the Atlanta Braves (73-60) facing off at Citizens Bank Park in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 29.
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Phillies vs. Braves Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, August 29, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Braves Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -155 | +130 | 8.5 | -115 | -105 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 103 games this year, and has walked away with the win 64 times (62.1%) in those games.
- This year, the Phillies have won 47 of 68 games when listed as at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of 133 opportunities.
- The Phillies went 6-3 across the nine games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has won 47.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (11-12).
- The Braves have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- Atlanta has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 133 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 47 of those games (47-79-7).
- The Braves have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and went 4-1 in those contests.
- Atlanta and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Braves Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez
- The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.51 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 25 games.
- Cristopher Sanchez’s team has been victorious in 45.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-12.
- Sanchez’s team has won 12 of his 25 starts.
- In Sanchez’s 25 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton
- The 40-year-old has an ERA of 4.24, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season. Opponents are batting .252 against him.
- The Braves have been the moneyline underdog in five of Morton’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
- In Morton’s 24 starts, his team is 12-12.
- Morton’s starts hit the over on the run total nine times in 24 games with a set total this season.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 78-55 |
| Home | 44-24 |
| Road | 34-31 |
| One-Run Games | 17-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-10 |
Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-60 |
| Home | 36-28 |
| Road | 37-32 |
| One-Run Games | 15-19 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 46-13 |
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