Predictions for Guardians vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 30
Friday’s contest between the Cleveland Guardians (76-58) and Pittsburgh Pirates (62-71) matching up at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET on August 30.
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Guardians vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Friday, August 30, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Guardians vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -170 | +142 | 9 | +100 | -120 |
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Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has been victorious in 53, or 63.9%, of the 83 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Guardians have won eight of 14 games when listed as at least -170 or better on the moneyline.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 65 of 134 opportunities.
- The Guardians went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Cleveland combined with its opponents to go over the total seven times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 32 of the 78 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (41%).
- The Pirates have a 5-14 record (winning just 26.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +142 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has played in 133 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-64-5).
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
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Guardians vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively
- The 32-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with a 3.62 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .233.
- Ben Lively’s team has been victorious in 73.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-4.
- In games Lively has started, his team is 14-9.
- Out of Lively’s 23 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.25, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season. Opponents have a .260 batting average against him.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 19 of Falter’s starts this season, and they went 8-11 in those matchups.
- Falter’s team has a 10-12 record in his starts this season.
- Bailey Falter has started 22 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 10 of them.
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Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 76-58 |
| Home | 41-24 |
| Road | 35-34 |
| One-Run Games | 23-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 55-8 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-71 |
| Home | 32-36 |
| Road | 30-35 |
| One-Run Games | 21-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-16 |
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