Friday’s contest between the Cleveland Guardians (76-58) and Pittsburgh Pirates (62-71) matching up at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET on August 30.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Guardians vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Guardians vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -170 +142 9 +100 -120

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been victorious in 53, or 63.9%, of the 83 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Guardians have won eight of 14 games when listed as at least -170 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 65 of 134 opportunities.
  • The Guardians went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Cleveland combined with its opponents to go over the total seven times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 32 of the 78 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (41%).
  • The Pirates have a 5-14 record (winning just 26.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +142 or longer.
  • Pittsburgh has played in 133 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-64-5).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Guardians vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with a 3.62 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .233.
  • Ben Lively’s team has been victorious in 73.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-4.
  • In games Lively has started, his team is 14-9.
  • Out of Lively’s 23 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.25, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season. Opponents have a .260 batting average against him.
  • The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 19 of Falter’s starts this season, and they went 8-11 in those matchups.
  • Falter’s team has a 10-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Bailey Falter has started 22 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 10 of them.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 76-58
Home 41-24
Road 35-34
One-Run Games 23-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-8

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-71
Home 32-36
Road 30-35
One-Run Games 21-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-16

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