Thursday’s contest features the Arizona Diamondbacks (76-57) and the New York Mets (69-64) squaring off at Chase Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Diamondbacks according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 3:40 p.m. ET on August 29.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Lines

Diamondbacks vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Diamondbacks -125 +105 9 -105 -115

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Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has been chosen as the favorite in 66 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (62.1%) in those games.
  • This season, the Diamondbacks have come away with a win 32 times in 47 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 73 of 133 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks went 7-4 across the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Arizona and its opponents combined to go over the run total 10 times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the underdog on the moneyline 55 total times this season. It has finished 26-29 in those games.
  • The Mets have gone 17-14 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (54.8%).
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 68 times this season for a 68-61-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 4.29, a 3.6 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.277.
  • Ryne Nelson’s team has a record of 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Nelson’s team has won 13 of his 22 starts this season.
  • In games Nelson has started this season, the teams are 11-10-1 at hitting the over.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • The 28-year-old has put together a 2.85 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings during 15 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .238 to opposing hitters.
  • The Mets are 3-1 in Peterson’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Peterson’s 15 starts, his team is 12-3.
  • Peterson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 15 games.

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Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 76-57
Home 38-27
Road 38-30
One-Run Games 24-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 59-12

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 69-64
Home 35-33
Road 34-31
One-Run Games 23-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-18

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