Predictions for Mariners vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 28
Wednesday’s game at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (67-66) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (66-66) at 4:10 p.m. ET (on August 28). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 4-3 win for the Mariners, so expect a tight matchup.
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Mariners vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mariners vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Rays 3
- Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
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Mariners vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -175 | +145 | 6.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle has been victorious in 50, or 56.8%, of the 88 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Mariners have won 10 of 15 games when listed as at least -175 or better on the moneyline.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over in 58 of 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mariners were the moneyline favorite for 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Seattle and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has compiled a 31-37 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.6% of those games).
- The Rays are 1-6 (winning just 14.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer.
- In the 132 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 58 times (58-70-4).
- In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Rays had a record of 5-6.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-10-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Mariners vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo
- The 31-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 3.66, a 3.79 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.165.
- Luis Castillo’s team is 11-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Castillo has started, his team is 13-14.
- In Castillo’s 27 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- He has a 2.70 ERA and 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .205 against him over his six games this season.
- The Rays were named the moneyline underdog for two Drew Rasmussen starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Rasmussen’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
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Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 67-66 |
| Home | 40-28 |
| Road | 27-38 |
| One-Run Games | 23-20 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-4 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 66-66 |
| Home | 34-34 |
| Road | 32-32 |
| One-Run Games | 25-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-7 |
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