Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 28
Wednesday’s game that pits the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57) versus the New York Mets (69-63) at Chase Field should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Diamondbacks. Game time is at 9:40 p.m. ET on August 28.
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 4, Mets 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -130 | +110 | 8.5 | -115 | -105 |
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Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- Arizona has been victorious in 40, or 61.5%, of the 65 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Diamondbacks have a mark of 31-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 72 of 132 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Arizona combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 26 of the 54 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.1%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Mets have a record of 16-12 (57.1%).
- New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 132 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 67 of those games (67-61-4).
- In six games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mets had a record of 3-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents are 9-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodríguez
- The 31-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 3.94, a 2.75 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.250.
- Eduardo Rodriguez’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Rodríguez’s team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- The teams have gone under the point total set by bookmakers in each of the three games Rodriguez has started this season.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.84, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 games this season. Opponents are batting .239 against him.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Severino’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those games.
- Severino’s team is 13-12 in his 25 starts.
- Severino’s starts went over the run total 14 times in 25 games with a set total this season.
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Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 75-57 |
| Home | 37-27 |
| Road | 38-30 |
| One-Run Games | 24-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 58-12 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 69-63 |
| Home | 35-33 |
| Road | 34-30 |
| One-Run Games | 23-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 48-17 |
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