Predictions for Phillies vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 28
Wednesday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (78-54) and Houston Astros (70-62) squaring off at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 6-5 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET on August 28.
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Phillies vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Astros 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -112 | -108 | 9.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has won 64, or 62.1%, of the 103 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Phillies have been victorious 64 times in 103 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of 132 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has compiled an 18-20 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.4% of those games).
- The Astros are 14-18 (winning 43.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -108 or longer.
- Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 132 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 52 of those games (52-76-4).
- The Astros have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Houston and its opponents are 5-10-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- The 32-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 6.26, a 1.89 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.577.
- Taijuan Walker’s team is 3-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Walker has started, his team is 4-9.
- In games Walker has started this season, the teams are 8-4-1 at hitting the over.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.94, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 23 games this season. Opponents are hitting .249 against him.
- The Astros have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Arrighetti’s starts this season, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
- Arrighetti’s team has won nine of his 23 starts.
- Spencer Arrighetti has had 23 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those outings finished over the total.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 78-54 |
| Home | 44-23 |
| Road | 34-31 |
| One-Run Games | 17-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-10 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 70-62 |
| Home | 35-29 |
| Road | 35-33 |
| One-Run Games | 14-23 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-7 |
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