Tuesday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (77-54) and the Houston Astros (70-61) at Citizens Bank Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Phillies coming out on top. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 27.

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Phillies vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Astros Betting Lines

Phillies vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -148 +124 8.5 -118 -102

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has come away with 63 wins in the 102 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Phillies have a mark of 48-22 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of 131 opportunities.
  • The Phillies went 5-4 across the nine games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 18 of the 37 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (48.6%).
  • The Astros are 3-3 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 131 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 52 of those games (52-75-4).
  • In three games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Astros have a record of 1-2.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Houston and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Phillies vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 3.45, a 3.59 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.180.
  • When Aaron Nola starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 15-5.
  • Nola’s team has won 17 of his 26 starts this season.
  • Out of Nola’s 26 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander

  • The 41-year-old has an ERA of 3.92, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 11 games this season. Opposing batters have a .239 batting average against him.
  • The Astros are 1-2 in Verlander’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Verlander’s team is 4-7 in his 11 starts.
  • Justin Verlander has had 11 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those matchups finished over the total.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 77-54
Home 43-23
Road 34-31
One-Run Games 17-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 55-10

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 70-61
Home 35-29
Road 35-32
One-Run Games 14-23
Scoring 5+ Runs 52-7

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