Tuesday’s contest features the Cleveland Guardians (75-57) and the Kansas City Royals (74-58) matching up at Progressive Field in what is expected to be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Guardians according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 27.

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Guardians vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Guardians vs. Royals Betting Lines

Guardians vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -148 +124 9 -105 -115

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been the favorite in 81 games this season, and has come away with the win 52 times (64.2%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Guardians have come away with a win 16 times in 27 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 132 chances this season.
  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has won 30 of the 62 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.4%).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Royals have a 6-12 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
  • Kansas City has played in 132 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-67-4).
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-2.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Kansas City and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Guardians vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams

  • The 25-year-old has pitched to a 5.13 ERA this season with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across 10 games.
  • Gavin Williams’ team has won 28.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-5).
  • Williams’ team is 3-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games Williams has started this season hit the over three times in 10 chances.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen

  • In 23 games this season, the 32-year-old has a 3.47 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .221 to opposing hitters.
  • The Royals are 6-8 in Lorenzen’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lorenzen’s team has an 8-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Lorenzen’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 22 games with a set total this season.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 75-57
Home 40-23
Road 35-34
One-Run Games 23-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 54-8

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-58
Home 41-28
Road 33-30
One-Run Games 16-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 47-18

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