Sunday’s game that pits the Boston Red Sox (67-61) versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (74-56) at Fenway Park should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox. Game time is at 1:35 p.m. ET on August 25.

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -130 +110 10 -102 -118

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been the favorite in 64 games this season, and has come away with the win 35 times (54.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Red Sox have come away with a win 25 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over in 68 of 127 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox went 2-5 across the seven games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has been the underdog on the moneyline 63 total times this season. It has gone 31-32 in those games.
  • The Diamondbacks have gone 14-18 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (43.8%).
  • Arizona has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 130 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-54-6).
  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and won each of those contests.
  • Arizona and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.01, a 3.38 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.153 in 25 games this season.
  • When Tanner Houck starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-7.
  • Houck’s team has a 13-12 record in his starts this season.
  • In Houck’s 25 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly

  • Over six games this season, the 35-year-old has put up a 3.63 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .222 to his opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks were the underdog on the moneyline for two Merrill Kelly starts this season — they split the games.
  • Kelly’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Kelly has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those outings.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 67-61
Home 29-34
Road 38-27
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 54-11

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-56
Home 37-26
Road 37-30
One-Run Games 24-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 57-12

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