Predictions for Padres vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 25
Sunday’s game between the San Diego Padres (73-58) and the New York Mets (68-62) at PETCO Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Padres securing the victory. Game time is at 4:10 p.m. ET on August 25.
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Padres vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, August 25, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: WPIX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Padres vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -122 | +102 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has come away with 44 wins in the 79 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Padres have a win-loss record of 36-29 when favored by -122 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Contests involving San Diego have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 71 of 131 chances this season.
- The Padres went 8-6 over the 14 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), San Diego and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has a 25-27 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.1% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Mets have a record of 20-17 (54.1%).
- In the 130 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-60-4).
- In six games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mets had a record of 2-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
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Padres vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Martín Pérez
- The 33-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with a 4.67 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .291.
- Martin Perez’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Perez has started, his team is 10-10.
- In Pérez’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.57, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
- The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Quintana’s starts this season, and they went 6-5 in those games.
- Quintana’s team has won 12 of his 25 starts.
- Jose Quintana has started 25 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 11 of them.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-58 |
| Home | 36-32 |
| Road | 37-26 |
| One-Run Games | 17-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 55-7 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 68-62 |
| Home | 35-33 |
| Road | 33-29 |
| One-Run Games | 23-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 47-17 |
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