Predictions for Reds vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 24
Saturday’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-67) and Cincinnati Reds (62-67) matching up at PNC Park has a projected final score of 7-6 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Pirates, so expect a tight matchup. The game will start at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 24.
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Reds vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, August 24, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSOH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Reds vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Pirates 7, Reds 6
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -115 | -105 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 58 games this year, and has walked away with the win 31 times (53.4%) in those games.
- The Reds have a win-loss record of 31-27 when favored by -115 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of 128 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds were the moneyline favorite in five of their past 15 games, and they went 3-2 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Cincinnati combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh is 31-44 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.3% of those games).
- The Pirates are 29-41 (winning 41.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 60 times this season for a 60-63-5 record against the over/under.
- In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates had a record of 2-9.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Reds vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Julian Aguiar
- He has pitched in one game this season with an ERA of 4.50, a batting average against of .250 and 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
- This will be Julian Aguiar’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Aguiar’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Aguiar with a total this season hit the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Woodford
- Over seven games this season, the 27-year-old has a 6.67 ERA and 6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .287 to his opponents.
- The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for five Jake Woodford starts this season — they lost each time.
- Woodford’s team has fallen in all five of his starts this season.
- Woodford has started five games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
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Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-67 |
| Home | 31-34 |
| Road | 31-33 |
| One-Run Games | 10-22 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-9 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 61-67 |
| Home | 31-32 |
| Road | 30-35 |
| One-Run Games | 20-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-13 |
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