Friday’s contest features the San Diego Padres (72-57) and the New York Mets (67-61) facing off at PETCO Park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Padres according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 9:40 p.m. ET on August 23.

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Padres vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Padres vs. Mets Betting Lines

Padres vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -143 +120 8 -102 -118

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been victorious in 43, or 55.8%, of the 77 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Padres have won 29 of 49 games when listed as at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of 129 opportunities.
  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they went 9-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — San Diego and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times.

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 24 of the 50 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48%).
  • The Mets are 9-7 (winning 56.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 65 times this season for a 65-59-4 record against the over/under.
  • In four games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Mets had a record of 1-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Padres vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Joe Musgrove

  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 4.97 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .288.
  • When Joe Musgrove starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-4.
  • Musgrove’s team has won seven of his 12 starts this season.
  • Games Musgrove has started this season hit the over six times in 12 chances.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Blackburn

  • Over 13 games this season, the 30-year-old has amassed a 4.19 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .241 to opposing hitters.
  • The Mets are 5-2 in Blackburn’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Blackburn’s team has put together a 9-4 record in his 13 starts.
  • Paul Blackburn has started 13 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 72-57
Home 35-31
Road 37-26
One-Run Games 17-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 54-7

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 67-61
Home 35-33
Road 32-28
One-Run Games 23-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 46-17

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