Predictions for Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 23
Friday’s game at Fenway Park has the Boston Red Sox (67-59) squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (72-56) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on August 23). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 victory for the Red Sox, so expect a tight matchup.
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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info
- When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Diamondbacks 5
- Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -130 | +110 | 10 | -102 | -118 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been victorious in 35, or 56.5%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Red Sox have a mark of 25-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of 125 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox had a 2-3 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Boston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- Arizona has won 29 of the 61 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.5%).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Diamondbacks have a 14-18 record (winning 43.8% of their games).
- Arizona has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 128 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 69 of those games (69-53-6).
- In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Diamondbacks had a perfect record of 4-0.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Arizona and its opponents are 8-4-3 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello
- The 25-year-old has pitched to a 4.80 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 23 games.
- When Brayan Bello starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-3.
- Bello’s team is 16-7 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Bello have a 14-6-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.35, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 23 games this season. Opponents are batting .271 against him.
- The Diamondbacks have a 6-8 record in Nelson’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Nelson’s 21 starts, his team is 12-9.
- Nelson’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 21 games with a set total this season.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 67-59 |
| Home | 29-32 |
| Road | 38-27 |
| One-Run Games | 16-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 54-11 |
Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 72-56 |
| Home | 37-26 |
| Road | 35-30 |
| One-Run Games | 24-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 56-12 |
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