Friday’s game at Fenway Park has the Boston Red Sox (67-59) squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (72-56) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on August 23). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 victory for the Red Sox, so expect a tight matchup.

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -130 +110 10 -102 -118

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been victorious in 35, or 56.5%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Red Sox have a mark of 25-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of 125 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox had a 2-3 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Boston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • Arizona has won 29 of the 61 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.5%).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Diamondbacks have a 14-18 record (winning 43.8% of their games).
  • Arizona has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 128 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 69 of those games (69-53-6).
  • In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Diamondbacks had a perfect record of 4-0.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Arizona and its opponents are 8-4-3 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello

  • The 25-year-old has pitched to a 4.80 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 23 games.
  • When Brayan Bello starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-3.
  • Bello’s team is 16-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Bello have a 14-6-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Diamondbacks’ Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.35, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 23 games this season. Opponents are batting .271 against him.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 6-8 record in Nelson’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Nelson’s 21 starts, his team is 12-9.
  • Nelson’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 21 games with a set total this season.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 67-59
Home 29-32
Road 38-27
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 54-11

Diamondbacks’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 72-56
Home 37-26
Road 35-30
One-Run Games 24-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-12

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