The Atlanta Dream (10-17) will look to build on a three-game home winning streak when squaring off against the Phoenix Mercury (15-14) on August 23, 2024 at Gateway Center Arena.

Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

Mercury vs. Dream Predictions

Spread: Dream (+2.5) to Cover

• The model favors the Mercury by 0.1 points, just 2.4 less than the 2.5-point spread set by BetMGM.
• The Dream’s ATS record is 16-11-0 this season.
• Atlanta is 11-6 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
• The Mercury are 17-12-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix is 8-4 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 163.5

• In this game, the model projects a total (161.7 points) marginally lower than the BetMGM over/under (163.5 points).
• Mercury games have finished over 163.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 17 times (out of 29) this season.
• This season, 10 of Atlanta’s 27 games have had a combined total higher than 163.5 points scored.
• In the Mercury’s 27 games with a set total, 14 have hit the over (51.9%).
• A total of 13 of the Dream’s 27 games with a set total have hit the over (48.1%).

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-140)

• Prediction: Mercury 82, Dream 81
• Atlanta has been the underdog in 18 games this season and won five (27.8%) of those contests.

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Where to Watch Mercury vs. Dream: Live Stream & TV Channel

• When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia
• TV: ION
• Live Stream: Fubo

Mercury Leaders

• The Mercury scoring leader is Kahleah Copper, who averages 23.1 per contest to go with 4.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
• Phoenix’s leading rebounder is Monique Billings averaging 6.5 boards per game and its best passer is Natasha Cloud and her 6.8 assists per game.
• Diana Taurasi makes more threes per game than any other member of the Mercury, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.6 per contest.
• The Phoenix steals leader is Cloud, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Natasha Mack, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Dream Leaders

• Allisha Gray is the top scorer for the Dream with 15.7 points per game. She also tacks on 3.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game to her stats.
• Tina Charles has a stat line of 8.7 rebounds, 13.9 points and two assists per game for Atlanta to take the top rebound spot on the team. Haley Jones has the top spot for assists with 2.6 per game, adding 5.1 points and 2.6 rebounds per outing.
• Gray hits 1.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the Dream.
• Atlanta’s leader in steals is Rhyne Howard (1.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Nia Coffey (0.6 per game).

Dream Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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