Thursday’s contest between the New York Yankees (74-53) and the Cleveland Guardians (73-53) at Yankee Stadium has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Yankees securing the victory. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET on August 22.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Yankees vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -175 +145 8 -115 -105

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has won 54, or 55.7%, of the 97 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Yankees have a mark of 19-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -175 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 69 of 126 chances this season.
  • The Yankees went 9-5 across the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been the moneyline underdog 49 total times this season. It has gone 23-26 in those games.
  • The Guardians are 2-4 (winning just 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer.
  • In the 126 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-57-8).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole

  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with a 4.15 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .268.
  • When Gerrit Cole starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-3.
  • Cole’s team has a 6-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In Cole’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams

  • Over nine games this season, the 25-year-old has a 5.02 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .266 to his opponents.
  • The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for two Gavin Williams starts this season — they split the games.
  • Williams’ team has a 3-6 record in his nine starts.
  • Williams’ starts went over the run total three times in nine games with a set total this season.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-53
Home 33-28
Road 41-25
One-Run Games 15-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 56-9

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 73-53
Home 38-20
Road 35-33
One-Run Games 23-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-8

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