Predictions for Pirates vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 22
Thursday’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-67) and the Cincinnati Reds (62-65) at PNC Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Pirates coming out on top. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 22.
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Pirates vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Pirates vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Pirates vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -148 | +124 | 7.5 | +102 | -122 |
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Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 27, or 55.1%, of the 49 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Pirates have a mark of 7-8 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 59 of 126 opportunities.
- The Pirates have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice over the past 15 games, and split those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has gone 30-35 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Reds have gone 11-11 (50%).
- In the 126 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-61-6).
- In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Reds had a record of 4-3.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Pirates vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes
- The 22-year-old has pitched to a 2.30 ERA this season with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 16 games.
- Paul Skenes’ team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5.
- Skenes’ team has won 10 of his 16 starts this season.
- Out of Skenes’ 16 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo
- In 20 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.55, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .235 against him.
- The Reds have played while the underdog on the moneyline for three of Lodolo’s starts this season, and they won every time.
- Lodolo’s team is 13-7 in his 20 starts.
- Lodolo’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 20 games with a set total this season.
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Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 59-67 |
| Home | 29-32 |
| Road | 30-35 |
| One-Run Games | 19-26 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 37-13 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-65 |
| Home | 31-34 |
| Road | 31-31 |
| One-Run Games | 10-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-8 |
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