Thursday’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-67) and the Cincinnati Reds (62-65) at PNC Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Pirates coming out on top. Game time is at 6:40 p.m. ET on August 22.

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Pirates vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Reds Betting Lines

Pirates vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -148 +124 7.5 +102 -122

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 27, or 55.1%, of the 49 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Pirates have a mark of 7-8 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 59 of 126 opportunities.
  • The Pirates have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice over the past 15 games, and split those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has gone 30-35 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Reds have gone 11-11 (50%).
  • In the 126 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-61-6).
  • In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Reds had a record of 4-3.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Pirates vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

  • The 22-year-old has pitched to a 2.30 ERA this season with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Paul Skenes’ team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5.
  • Skenes’ team has won 10 of his 16 starts this season.
  • Out of Skenes’ 16 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo

  • In 20 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.55, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .235 against him.
  • The Reds have played while the underdog on the moneyline for three of Lodolo’s starts this season, and they won every time.
  • Lodolo’s team is 13-7 in his 20 starts.
  • Lodolo’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 20 games with a set total this season.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 59-67
Home 29-32
Road 30-35
One-Run Games 19-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-13

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-65
Home 31-34
Road 31-31
One-Run Games 10-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-8

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