Thursday’s contest at PETCO Park has the San Diego Padres (72-56) taking on the New York Mets (66-61) at 9:40 p.m. ET (on August 22). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Padres, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Padres vs. Mets Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Padres vs. Mets Predictions

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Padres vs. Mets Betting Lines

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Padres Betting Insights

• San Diego has been victorious in 43, or 56.6%, of the 76 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
• The Padres have a win-loss record of 23-12 when favored by -155 or better by bookmakers this year.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 69 of 128 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres went 10-4 across the 14 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times.

Mets Betting Insights

• New York has a 23-26 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.9% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Mets have gone 5-4 (55.6%).
• New York has combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times this season for a 64-59-4 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have played as underdogs three times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Padres vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease

• The 28-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with a 3.46 ERA and 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .193.
• Dylan Cease’s team has won 60.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (14-9).
• Cease’s team has won 16 of his 26 starts this season.
• In Cease’s 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

• The 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.91, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 24 games this season. Opponents are batting .238 against him.
• The Mets have a 2-6 record in Severino’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Severino’s team is 12-12 in his 24 starts.
• Luis Severino has had 24 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 13 of those matchups.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Mets’ 2024 Performance

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