Predictions for Orioles vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 22
Thursday’s game between the Baltimore Orioles (74-54) and the Houston Astros (68-58) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Orioles securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET on August 22.
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Orioles vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, August 22, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Orioles vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Orioles vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -167 | +140 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has been chosen as the favorite in 99 games this year, and has walked away with the win 59 times (59.6%) in those games.
- This season, the Orioles have come away with a win 21 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -167 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 126 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Baltimore and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has won 17 of the 34 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
- The Astros have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +140 or longer.
- In the 126 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Houston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-72-4).
- The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Orioles vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.10, a 3.79 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.106 in 25 games this season.
- When Corbin Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-8.
- In games Burnes has started, his team is 17-8.
- Out of Burnes’ 25 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti
- The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.20, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .255 batting average against him.
- The Astros are 2-5 in Arrighetti’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Arrighetti’s team has an 8-14 record in his starts this season.
- Arrighetti’s starts went over the run total nine times in 22 games with a set total this season.
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Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-54 |
| Home | 37-28 |
| Road | 37-26 |
| One-Run Games | 12-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-8 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 68-58 |
| Home | 35-29 |
| Road | 33-29 |
| One-Run Games | 14-21 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 50-6 |
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