Thursday’s game between the Baltimore Orioles (74-54) and the Houston Astros (68-58) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Orioles securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET on August 22.

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Orioles vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Orioles vs. Astros Betting Lines

Orioles vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -167 +140 8.5 -110 -110

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has been chosen as the favorite in 99 games this year, and has walked away with the win 59 times (59.6%) in those games.
  • This season, the Orioles have come away with a win 21 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -167 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 126 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Baltimore and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 17 of the 34 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
  • The Astros have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +140 or longer.
  • In the 126 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Houston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-72-4).
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Orioles vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.10, a 3.79 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.106 in 25 games this season.
  • When Corbin Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-8.
  • In games Burnes has started, his team is 17-8.
  • Out of Burnes’ 25 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti

  • The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.20, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .255 batting average against him.
  • The Astros are 2-5 in Arrighetti’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Arrighetti’s team has an 8-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Arrighetti’s starts went over the run total nine times in 22 games with a set total this season.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-54
Home 37-28
Road 37-26
One-Run Games 12-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-8

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 68-58
Home 35-29
Road 33-29
One-Run Games 14-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 50-6

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