Wednesday’s game that pits the New York Mets (65-61) versus the Baltimore Orioles (74-53) at Citi Field is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mets. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET on August 21.

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Mets vs. Orioles Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Orioles Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Orioles Betting Lines

Mets vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -130 +110 8.5 -112 -108

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 42 wins in the 76 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 27-18 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 126 chances this season.
  • The Mets had a 6-5 record across the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has gone 15-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 57.7% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Orioles have a record of 4-2 (66.7%).
  • Baltimore has played in 125 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-46-11).
  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Mets vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 3.46, a 2.48 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.208.
  • When Sean Manaea starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-6.
  • Manaea’s team has a 16-8 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Manaea has started this season, the teams are 11-12-1 at hitting the over.

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Cole Irvin

  • Cole Irvin did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 65-61
Home 34-33
Road 31-28
One-Run Games 22-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-17

Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 74-53
Home 37-28
Road 37-25
One-Run Games 12-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 53-8

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