Predictions for Mets vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 21
Wednesday’s game that pits the New York Mets (65-61) versus the Baltimore Orioles (74-53) at Citi Field is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mets. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET on August 21.
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Mets vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -130 | +110 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 42 wins in the 76 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Mets have a mark of 27-18 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 126 chances this season.
- The Mets had a 6-5 record across the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has gone 15-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 57.7% of those games).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Orioles have a record of 4-2 (66.7%).
- Baltimore has played in 125 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-46-11).
- The Orioles have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
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Mets vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea
- The 32-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 3.46, a 2.48 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.208.
- When Sean Manaea starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-6.
- Manaea’s team has a 16-8 record in his starts this season.
- In games Manaea has started this season, the teams are 11-12-1 at hitting the over.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Cole Irvin
- Cole Irvin did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 65-61 |
| Home | 34-33 |
| Road | 31-28 |
| One-Run Games | 22-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-17 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 74-53 |
| Home | 37-28 |
| Road | 37-25 |
| One-Run Games | 12-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-8 |
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