Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 21
Wednesday’s contest features the Atlanta Braves (67-58) and the Philadelphia Phillies (73-52) squaring off at Truist Park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Braves according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 7:20 p.m. ET on August 21.
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Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 7:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -118 | -102 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 103 games this year, and has walked away with the win 57 times (55.3%) in those games.
- The Braves have a win-loss record of 53-46 when favored by -118 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 125 opportunities.
- The Braves went 4-7 over the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has won 45.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (11-13).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Phillies have gone 8-11 (42.1%).
- Philadelphia has had an over/under set by bookmakers 125 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 58 of those games (58-62-5).
- The Phillies have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 7-8-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.62 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .234 in 21 games this season.
- When Max Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-7.
- Fried’s team has a 13-8 record in his starts this season.
- In games Fried has started this season, the teams are 6-14-1 at hitting the over.
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- In 25 games this season, the 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.45, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .240 against him.
- The Phillies have been the moneyline underdog in five of Nola’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those games.
- Over Nola’s 25 starts, his team is 16-9.
- Nola’s starts hit the over on the run total 13 times in 25 games with a set total this season.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 67-58 |
| Home | 33-26 |
| Road | 34-32 |
| One-Run Games | 13-18 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 43-13 |
Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-52 |
| Home | 42-23 |
| Road | 31-29 |
| One-Run Games | 15-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-10 |
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