Predictions for Mets vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 20
Tuesday’s game that pits the New York Mets (65-60) against the Baltimore Orioles (73-53) at Citi Field has a good chance to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET on August 20.
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Mets vs. Orioles Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, August 20, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Orioles Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -122 | +102 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 42 wins in the 75 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Mets have won 33 of 58 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of 125 opportunities.
- The Mets went 6-5 over the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total five times.
Orioles Betting Insights
- Baltimore has won 14 of the 25 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (56%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Orioles have a record of 6-6 (50%).
- Baltimore has played in 124 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-46-11).
- In the past 15 games, the Orioles have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
- Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mets vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has pitched to a 4.26 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.5 walks per nine across 24 games.
- When Jose Quintana starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-6.
- Quintana’s team has won 12 of his 24 starts.
- Games started by Quintana have a 10-13-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Dean Kremer
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.48, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .225 against him.
- The Orioles have a 4-3 record in Kremer’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Kremer’s 17 starts, his team is 7-10.
- Kremer’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 12 of 17 contests.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 65-60 |
| Home | 34-32 |
| Road | 31-28 |
| One-Run Games | 22-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-16 |
Orioles’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-53 |
| Home | 37-28 |
| Road | 36-25 |
| One-Run Games | 12-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 52-8 |
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