Monday’s contest at Citi Field has the New York Mets (64-60) taking on the Baltimore Orioles (73-52) at 7:10 p.m. ET (on August 19). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Mets, so expect a tight matchup.

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Mets vs. Orioles Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Orioles Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Orioles Betting Lines

Mets vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -130 +110 8.5 -122 +102

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 74 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (55.4%) in those games.
  • The Mets have a mark of 26-17 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 63 of 124 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-6 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.

Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has won 58.3% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (14-10).
  • The Orioles have a 4-1 record (winning 80% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Baltimore has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 123 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 67 of those games (67-45-11).
  • In the past 15 games, the Orioles have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.04 and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .244 in 13 games this season.
  • David Peterson’s team has a record of 8-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Peterson has started, his team is 10-3.
  • In Peterson’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • During 24 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up a 4.89 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .285 to opposing hitters.
  • The Orioles have a 6-13 record in Rogers’ 19 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Rogers’ team has won seven of his 24 starts.
  • Rogers’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 12 of 24 games.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 64-60
Home 33-32
Road 31-28
One-Run Games 21-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-16

Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 73-52
Home 37-28
Road 36-24
One-Run Games 12-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 52-8

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