Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 18
Sunday’s game at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (73-50) squaring off against the Washington Nationals (55-69) at 1:35 p.m. ET. Our computer prediction projects a 6-4 win for the Phillies, who are a slight favorite based on our model.
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Phillies vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 1:35 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -180 | +150 | 9.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 62, or 62.6%, of the 99 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Phillies have been victorious 28 times in 40 chances when named as a favorite of at least -180 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of 123 opportunities.
- The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in eight of their past 15 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has been the moneyline underdog 105 total times this season. It has gone 45-60 in those games.
- The Nationals have a 14-18 record (winning 43.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +150 or longer.
- Washington has played in 124 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 62 times (62-56-6).
- In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 6-8.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Phillies vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- The 32-year-old has an ERA of 5.68, a 2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.509 in 11 games this season.
- Taijuan Walker’s team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Walker’s team is 4-7 when he starts this season.
- In games Walker has started this season, the teams are 6-4-1 at hitting the over.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin
- Over 25 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 3.72 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .238 to his opponents.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 22 of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 9-13 in those matchups.
- Over Irvin’s 25 starts, his team is 11-14.
- Jake Irvin has had 25 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 13 of those matchups hit the over.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 73-50 |
| Home | 42-22 |
| Road | 31-28 |
| One-Run Games | 15-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 53-10 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 55-69 |
| Home | 28-32 |
| Road | 27-37 |
| One-Run Games | 13-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-15 |
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