Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 18
Sunday’s game between the New York Mets (64-59) and the Miami Marlins (45-78) at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Mets taking home the win. Game time is at 12:05 p.m. ET on August 18.
Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!
Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 12:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: Roku
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.
Mets vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM
Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -200 | +164 | 8.5 | -108 | -112 |
Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been victorious in 41, or 56.2%, of the 73 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- The Mets have a win-loss record of 6-3 when favored by -200 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 123 chances this season.
- The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has a 41-65 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.7% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +164 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 9-21 (30%).
- Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 123 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 67 of those games (67-52-4).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!
Read More About This Game
Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 4.43 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
- When Paul Blackburn starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
- Blackburn’s team is 9-3 when he starts this season.
- Games Blackburn has started this season hit the over five times in 12 chances.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo
- The 24-year-old has put up a 2.28 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings across five games this season, while allowing a batting average of .196 to opposing batters.
- The Marlins are 2-3 in Bellozo’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bellozo’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Bellozo’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.
Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 64-59 |
| Home | 33-31 |
| Road | 31-28 |
| One-Run Games | 21-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-16 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 45-78 |
| Home | 24-39 |
| Road | 21-39 |
| One-Run Games | 18-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 27-15 |
Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
