Sunday’s game between the New York Mets (64-59) and the Miami Marlins (45-78) at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Mets taking home the win. Game time is at 12:05 p.m. ET on August 18.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -200 +164 8.5 -108 -112

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 41, or 56.2%, of the 73 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 6-3 when favored by -200 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 123 chances this season.
  • The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total five times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has a 41-65 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.7% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +164 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 9-21 (30%).
  • Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 123 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 67 of those games (67-52-4).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Read More About This Game

Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Blackburn

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 4.43 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
  • When Paul Blackburn starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
  • Blackburn’s team is 9-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games Blackburn has started this season hit the over five times in 12 chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

  • The 24-year-old has put up a 2.28 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings across five games this season, while allowing a batting average of .196 to opposing batters.
  • The Marlins are 2-3 in Bellozo’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bellozo’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Bellozo’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 64-59
Home 33-31
Road 31-28
One-Run Games 21-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 45-16

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-78
Home 24-39
Road 21-39
One-Run Games 18-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-15

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