Monday’s game at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (78-65) matching up with the Cincinnati Reds (69-75) at 6:40 p.m. ET (on Sept. 9). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Braves, so expect a tight matchup.

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Braves vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Braves vs. Reds Betting Lines

Braves vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -162 +136 8.5 -105 -115

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been the favorite in 115 games this season, and has come away with the win 66 times (57.4%) in those contests.
  • The Braves have a win-loss record of 35-23 when favored by -162 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 50 of 143 opportunities.
  • The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati is 35-41 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.1% of those games).
  • The Reds have gone 9-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer (52.9%).
  • Cincinnati has played in 143 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-68-8).
  • In nine games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 5-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 7-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Braves vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton

  • The 40-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 4.24, a 2.69 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.321.
  • Charlie Morton’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-8).
  • In games Morton has started, his team is 13-13.
  • In Morton’s 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Martínez

  • During 38 games this season, the 34-year-old has a 3.67 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .258 to opposing batters.
  • The Reds have a 1-5 record in Martínez’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Martínez’s 12 starts, his team is 5-7.
  • Martínez’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 12 games.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 78-65
Home 40-30
Road 38-35
One-Run Games 16-21
Scoring 5+ Runs 48-14

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 69-75
Home 36-39
Road 33-36
One-Run Games 13-26
Scoring 5+ Runs 49-10

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