Predictions for Phillies vs. Twins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 22
Monday’s contest features the Minnesota Twins (54-44) and the Philadelphia Phillies (63-36) clashing at Target Field in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-4 win for the Twins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 7:40 PM ET on July 22.
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Phillies vs. Twins Matchup Info
- When: Monday, July 22, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Twins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 5, Phillies 4
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Phillies vs. Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -130 | +110 | – | – | – |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 55, or 67.1%, of the 82 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 47 times in 72 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 99 opportunities.
- The Phillies went 6-5 over the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Philadelphia combined with its opponents to go over the run total eight times.
Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has won 37% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (10-17).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Twins have a 4-8 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).
- Minnesota has had an over/under set by bookmakers 97 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-46-2).
- The Twins have been underdogs twice in the past 15 games and split those matchups 1-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Minnesota and its opponents are 10-5-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Twins Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- The 28-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with a 2.76 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .219.
- Ranger Suarez’s team has won 73.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-4).
- Suarez’s team has won 14 of his 19 starts.
- In games Suarez has started this season, the teams are 6-12-1 at hitting the over.
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober
- The 29-year-old has a 4.14 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .227 to opposing hitters.
- The Twins are 2-3 in Ober’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Ober’s 18 starts, his team is 9-9.
- Bailey Ober has had 18 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 63-36 |
| Home | 37-16 |
| Road | 26-20 |
| One-Run Games | 14-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 45-6 |
Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 54-44 |
| Home | 27-20 |
| Road | 27-24 |
| One-Run Games | 16-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 38-8 |
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