Monday’s contest between the New York Mets (50-48) and the Miami Marlins (35-64) at LoanDepot park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets taking home the win. Game time is at 6:40 PM ET on July 22.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -167 +140 8.5 -108 -112

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 31 wins in the 56 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 4-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -167 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of 98 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 8-5 across the 13 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami is 31-51 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.8% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 11-23 (32.4%).
  • Miami has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 51 times this season for a 51-45-3 record against the over/under.
  • In 13 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-9.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.09, a 1.68 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.420 in eight games this season.
  • David Peterson and his team have won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Peterson’s team has won seven of his eight starts.
  • In games Peterson has started this season, the teams are 5-2-1 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Yonny Chirinos

  • In five games this season, the 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.76, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .321 against him.
  • The Marlins are 3-2 in Chirinos’ five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Chirinos’ five starts, his team is 3-2.
  • Yonny Chirinos has started five contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-48
Home 26-26
Road 24-22
One-Run Games 19-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-15

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-64
Home 20-32
Road 15-32
One-Run Games 16-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-12

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