Sunday’s game between the New York Yankees (59-41) and Tampa Bay Rays (49-49) matching up at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 1:35 PM ET on July 21.

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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -161 +136 8.5 -120 +100

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 76 games this season, and has come away with the win 43 times (56.6%) in those contests.
  • The Yankees have a win-loss record of 19-12 when favored by -161 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 51 of 100 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 3-9 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total seven times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay is 19-25 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.2% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +136 or longer, the Rays have gone 3-6 (33.3%).
  • In the 98 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-49-3).
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Rays had a record of 4-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-10-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Marcus Stroman

  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, a 1.66 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.333 in 19 games this season.
  • When Marcus Stroman starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-6.
  • Stroman’s team has won 13 of his 19 starts this season.
  • Out of Stroman’s 19 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

  • In two games this season, he has put up a 5.23 ERA and averages 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .302 against him.
  • The Rays were the moneyline underdog for one Shane Baz start this season — they won.
  • His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Baz’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 59-41
Home 26-20
Road 33-21
One-Run Games 11-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-6

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-49
Home 27-27
Road 22-22
One-Run Games 17-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

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