Sunday’s contest that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (62-36) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (50-48) at PNC Park is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET on July 21.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Phillies vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -143 +120 9 -118 -102

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has won 54, or 66.7%, of the 81 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Phillies have been victorious 41 times in 61 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of 98 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Philadelphia combined with its opponents to go over the run total nine times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the underdog on the moneyline 54 total times this season. It has finished 26-28 in those games.
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, the Pirates have a record of 14-13 (51.9%).
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times this season for a 45-49-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips

  • He has an ERA of 4.50, a strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .900 in two games this season.
  • Tyler Phillips’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Phillips’ team won in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Phillips with a total this season hit the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Marco Gonzales

  • During four games this season, the 32-year-old has a 2.45 ERA and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .262 to his opponents.
  • The Pirates are 2-1 in Gonzales’ three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Gonzales’ team has compiled a 3-1 record over his four starts.
  • Gonzales’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of four games.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-36
Home 37-16
Road 25-20
One-Run Games 14-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-6

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-48
Home 24-24
Road 26-24
One-Run Games 17-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-6

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