Sunday’s contest features the New York Mets (50-47) and the Miami Marlins (34-64) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 6-5 victory for the Mets according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 1:40 PM ET on July 21.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -155 +130 8.5 -115 -105

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 31 wins in the 55 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Mets have won seven of 10 games when listed as at least -155 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 52 of 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets went 9-4 over the 13 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami is 30-51 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 37% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 12-28 (30%).
  • Miami has played in 98 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-44-3).
  • In 13 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-10.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times.

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Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.36, a 3.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.108.
  • Christian Scott’s team is 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Scott’s team has won two of his eight starts.
  • Games started by Scott have a 5-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • The 26-year-old has put together a 4.72 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings over 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .274 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins are 4-12 in Rogers’ 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Rogers’ team has a 4-15 record in his starts this season.
  • Rogers’ starts went over the run total eight times in 19 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-47
Home 26-26
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 19-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-15

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-64
Home 19-32
Road 15-32
One-Run Games 16-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-12

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