Sunday’s game between the Cleveland Guardians (59-38) and the San Diego Padres (51-50) at Progressive Field should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Guardians coming out on top. Game time is at 1:40 PM ET on July 21.

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Guardians vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Guardians vs. Padres Betting Lines

Guardians vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -115 -105 8 -105 -115

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has come away with 43 wins in the 64 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Guardians have a win-loss record of 41-18 when favored by -115 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 47 of 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Guardians had a 7-5 record across the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has been the underdog on the moneyline 45 total times this season. It has finished 23-22 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Padres have a 19-17 record (winning 52.8% of their games).
  • In the 101 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for San Diego, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-47-1).
  • In nine games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Padres had a record of 5-4.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Guardians vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.58 ERA this season with 8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Ben Lively’s team has won 81.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-2).
  • Lively’s team is 10-6 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Lively have a 5-8-3 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Michael King

  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.41, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 20 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .224 batting average against him.
  • The Padres have a 6-3 record in King’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • King’s team has an 11-8 record in his starts this season.
  • King’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 19 games.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 59-38
Home 31-12
Road 28-26
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-6

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 51-50
Home 26-28
Road 25-22
One-Run Games 10-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-5

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