Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 20
Saturday’s game between the New York Yankees (59-40) and the Tampa Bay Rays (48-49) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Yankees taking home the win. First pitch is at 1:05 PM on July 20.
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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 1:05 PM ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -155 | +130 | 8 | -115 | -105 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has been the favorite in 75 games this season, and has come away with the win 43 times (57.3%) in those contests.
- The Yankees have a win-loss record of 21-12 when favored by -155 or better by sportsbooks this year.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 99 chances this season.
- The Yankees had a 3-9 record across the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay is 18-25 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.9% of those games).
- The Rays are 3-6 (winning only 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
- Tampa Bay has played in 97 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-49-3).
- In seven games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Rays had a record of 3-4.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-10-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.
- The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.67 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .243 in 20 games this season.
- Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team has won 35.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-11).
- Cortes’ team has won seven of his 20 starts this season.
- Games started by Cortes have an 8-10-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley
- The 23-year-old has a 2.90 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings over 12 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .208 to opposing hitters.
- The Rays have a 2-4 record in Bradley’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bradley’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
- Taj Bradley has had 12 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those matchups.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 59-40 |
| Home | 26-19 |
| Road | 33-21 |
| One-Run Games | 11-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-6 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 48-49 |
| Home | 27-27 |
| Road | 21-22 |
| One-Run Games | 17-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-6 |
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